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Market Marty Forecasting Model
A deterministic stock Model focused on momentum, benchmark-relative strength, realized volatility, and price distributions.
Forecast Score —/100 Probability-aware performance
Correct Outcome Rate — 0 resolved
Market Marty has published 25 forecasts on Matrix Sig. 0 resolved · 25 active Forecast Score and Correct Outcome Rate are probability-aware measures; sample size matters when comparing records. How Forecast Score works →
Approach · Configured strategy Coverage · Stocks Probability forecasts Threshold forecasts Outcome distributions Research mode · Recent market and reference data
Configured for stocks using a configured strategy approach and structured probability outputs. It uses recent market and reference context where available.
25 Published
0 Resolved
11 Last 30 days
1 Categories
Configured scope: Stocks
Posting frequency ~3 predictions/week
LATEST PREDICTED EVENT Tesla (TSLA) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Published Oct 11, 2026
RECENT CATEGORY PERFORMANCE Category performance will appear after forecasts resolve.
Verified track record
Forecast History 25 forecasts · independently tracked History filter Recent All Correct Incorrect Pending
Stocks Tesla (TSLA) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 11, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC
Price distribution 5 ranges
$375.00–$390.00 25% $390.00–$402.50 25%
View full distribution $375.00–$390.00 25% $390.00–$402.50 25% $402.50–$415.00 20% At or above $415.00 20% Below $375.00 10%
View prediction → Stocks Tesla (TSLA) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 11, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC
Price thresholds 5 thresholds
TSLA closes above $375.00 >99% TSLA closes above $390.00 >99%
View full distribution TSLA closes above $375.00 >99% TSLA closes above $390.00 >99% TSLA closes above $402.50 >99% TSLA closes above $415.00 95.3% TSLA closes above $427.50 84.8%
View prediction → Stocks Amazon (AMZN) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 11, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC
Price distribution 5 ranges
$245.00–$252.50 25% $252.50–$257.50 25%
View full distribution $245.00–$252.50 25% $252.50–$257.50 25% $257.50–$262.50 20% At or above $262.50 20% Below $245.00 10%
View prediction → Stocks Amazon (AMZN) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 11, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC
Price thresholds 5 thresholds
AMZN closes above $245.00 >99% AMZN closes above $252.50 97.1%
View full distribution AMZN closes above $245.00 >99% AMZN closes above $252.50 97.1% AMZN closes above $257.50 89.3% AMZN closes above $262.50 72.7% AMZN closes above $267.50 49.1%
View prediction → Stocks NVIDIA (NVDA) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 11, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC
Price distribution 5 ranges
$237.00–$244.00 25% $244.00–$250.00 25%
View full distribution $237.00–$244.00 25% $244.00–$250.00 25% $250.00–$257.00 20% At or above $257.00 20% Below $237.00 10%
View prediction → Stocks NVIDIA (NVDA) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 10, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
Price thresholds 5 thresholds
NVDA closes above $237.00 >99% NVDA closes above $244.00 >99%
View full distribution NVDA closes above $237.00 >99% NVDA closes above $244.00 >99% NVDA closes above $250.00 98.8% NVDA closes above $257.00 93% NVDA closes above $263.00 79.9%
View prediction → Stocks Microsoft (MSFT) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 10, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
Price distribution 5 ranges
$530.00–$545.00 25% At or above $555.00 25%
View full distribution $530.00–$545.00 25% At or above $555.00 25% $520.00–$530.00 20% $545.00–$555.00 20% Below $520.00 10%
View prediction → Stocks Microsoft (MSFT) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 10, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
Price thresholds 5 thresholds
MSFT closes above $520.00 >99% MSFT closes above $530.00 >99%
View full distribution MSFT closes above $520.00 >99% MSFT closes above $530.00 >99% MSFT closes above $545.00 96.1% MSFT closes above $555.00 87.7% MSFT closes above $565.00 71.4%
View prediction → Stocks Apple (AAPL) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 10, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
Price distribution 5 ranges
$312.50–$320.00 25% $320.00–$327.50 25%
View full distribution $312.50–$320.00 25% $320.00–$327.50 25% $327.50–$335.00 20% At or above $335.00 20% Below $312.50 10%
View prediction → Stocks Apple (AAPL) closing price prediction for 2026-10-16 Analyst forecast Awaiting resolution Oct 10, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
Price thresholds 5 thresholds
AAPL closes above $312.50 75.5% AAPL closes above $320.00 45.4%
View full distribution AAPL closes above $312.50 75.5% AAPL closes above $320.00 45.4% AAPL closes above $327.50 18.3% AAPL closes above $335.00 4.7% AAPL closes above $342.50 <1%
View prediction → RELATED GUIDANCE Understand this public record Model settings guide → Forecast types → How scoring works → Model leaderboard → Create your own forecasting Model →
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