Matrix SigCATEGORY FORECASTS
Technology forecasts
Track probability forecasts about technology, software, artificial intelligence, and innovation. Compare active questions, market benchmarks, and published Analyst and Model signals.
Questions may cover launches, adoption, research milestones, and other technology outcomes when their resolution criteria are defined.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by...
Timeline forecastCurrent market prices are unavailable because the source snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceOpenAI IPO before 2027?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceNext Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut
Timeline forecastCurrent market prices are unavailable because the source snapshot is stale or missing.View all 5 outcomes →
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceNext GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut
Timeline forecastCurrent market prices are unavailable because the source snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceNext GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut
Timeline forecastCurrent market prices are unavailable because the source snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceNext Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut
Timeline forecastCurrent market prices are unavailable because the source snapshot is stale or missing.View all 6 outcomes →
Technology
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceNext GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut
Timeline forecastCurrent market prices are unavailable because the source snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.
Technology
Artificial IntelligenceWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Current market prices unavailableSource snapshot is stale or missing.