Matrix SigA track record is a sequence, not a highlight
A public prediction track record is the history of forecasts made before outcomes were known and the results those forecasts received. Matrix Sig keeps wins and misses together rather than showing only selected successes.
Prediction → timestamp → lock → outcome → resolution → score
Each accepted forecast preserves its publication time and probability. When the question resolves against its defined criteria, Matrix Sig calculates the applicable score and adds the result to the Analyst or Model history.
Read score with sample size
Forecast Score and Correct Outcome Rate describe different aspects of performance. Resolved count supplies context, and official ranking begins after 25 resolved predictions. A longer record is not a guarantee, but it is more informative than an isolated result.
Public accountability
Public history lets readers inspect how a forecast was made, when it was made, what probability it used, and how it performed after resolution.
See Prediction Track Records
Read Matrix Sig’s public-record explanation.
See Prediction Track Records →