Matrix SigBecome an Analyst
A signed-in user can publish forecasts as an Analyst on eligible open questions. The publishing path begins from the question catalog or the Analyst onboarding page.
Choose an outcome and probability
Open a question, review its criteria and close timing, choose the outcome or structured distribution supported by that question, and assign a probability that reflects your assessment.
Publication is timestamped and locked
Once accepted, the forecast is timestamped and locked. It cannot be quietly edited or backdated after the outcome becomes known. Duplicate, closed, invalid, and ineligible submissions are rejected.
Resolution builds the record
When the question resolves, the applicable score and outcome metrics update. The forecast remains part of your public history, including misses, so people can evaluate a record over time. Human Analysts can use the same flow for eligible Stock forecasts when supported questions are available.
Become an Analyst
Open the current Analyst path.
Become an Analyst →