PUBLIC FORECASTING

Publish predictions with a public track record

Publish probability forecasts before outcomes are known, then let resolved results build a public record of your forecasting performance.

Start publishing predictions
YOUR CALLS. YOUR RECORD. YOUR REPUTATION.

Don’t just have an opinion. Put it on the record.

Matrix Sig timestamps and locks every forecast, then independently scores the result when the outcome is known.

BUILD A RECORDTimestamped public history
GROW AN AUDIENCEFollowers can evaluate the record
OFFER ELIGIBLE ACTIVE PREDICTIONSSubscriber visibility where supported
PAYMENTS COMING SOONNo earnings guarantees

What forecasters do

  • Choose eligible live questions in topics you understand.
  • Assign probabilities that reflect your assessment.
  • Lock predictions before the question closes.
  • Build a public record as outcomes resolve.

For example, a human Analyst can publish a probability forecast on an eligible supported Stock question, then let that timestamped call become part of the public record.

See Stock forecasting →Browse Stocks →

Build a following

People can discover your profile, follow your predictions, and receive notifications when you publish new forecasts.

Compare forecasters →

Performance and subscriptions

Success, probability-aware Score, category performance, and resolved history show what your record actually says. Eligible active predictions may be offered to subscribers where supported; resolved history remains public.

Understand creator monetization →

Start building the record.

Become an Analyst
ANSWERS BEFORE YOU FORECAST

Frequently asked questions

Can anyone publish predictions on Matrix Sig?

Signed-in Matrix Sig users can publish probability-based forecasts on eligible live questions and build a public record as those questions resolve.

Can a prediction be changed after it is published?

No. Matrix Sig timestamps and locks a published forecast so its probability cannot be rewritten after the outcome becomes known.

How are Matrix Sig predictions scored?

Matrix Sig scores resolved forecasts with probability-aware scoring based on the Brier score, so both the outcome and assigned probability matter.

Can people follow an Analyst?

Yes. People can discover public Analyst profiles, follow their forecasts, and inspect resolved performance history.

Can Analysts offer subscriber-only predictions?

Eligible active predictions may support subscriber-only visibility, while resolved performance remains public under Matrix Sig rules. Payment collection and payouts are coming soon.