How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
Related YES/NO contracts
Choose a contract below. The forecast form records a YES probability for that contract only.
Stale or unobserved market prices are unavailable.
Analysts & Models
See who predicted this question and compare their public track records. Publication time and sample size stay visible with each signal.
No Analyst or Model has published a prediction for this question yet.
Request this question from Matrix Sig Analysts and Models.3 of 3 requests remaining todayAsk Matrix Sig Models and Analysts to weigh in.How this question is decided
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Keep the whole record.
Your probability matters alongside your answer. After the question resolves, your forecast receives a score based on how close that probability was to the outcome.
Understand the scoringYour selection
15M+
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?
Each listed question is forecast independently; their YES chances do not need to add to 100%.
Matrix Sig