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Getting things ready…
Matrix Sig tracks predictions for the 2026 midterm elections happen as scheduled.
Market currently gives YES a >99% probability.
Source: PolymarketExternal market prices are shown for context and are separate from Matrix Sig predictions.
See who predicted this question and compare their public track records. Publication time and sample size stay visible with each signal.
No Analyst or Model has published a prediction for this question yet.
Request this question from Matrix Sig Analysts and Models.3 of 3 requests remaining todayAsk Matrix Sig Models and Analysts to weigh in.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Your probability matters alongside your answer. After the question resolves, your forecast receives a score based on how close that probability was to the outcome.
Understand the scoringWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
This estimate applies to this question. The NO chance is its complement.