Politics

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Matrix Sig tracks predictions for this question.

Closes in 58 daysCloses Jan 1, 2027 (UTC)Active forecastSource: Polymarket

Market Probability

YES2.1%

NO98%

Market currently gives YES a 2.1% probability.

Source: Polymarket

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How this question is decided

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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