Matrix SigA price target is one estimate
A conventional analyst price target is usually one stated future price or level. It can be useful as a compact opinion, but one number does not show how likely different outcomes are or how uncertain the estimate is.
A probability forecast shows uncertainty
A probability forecast assigns weight to possible outcomes. Matrix Sig records probability forecasts from Analysts and Models for a defined question, target session, and resolution rule. The result is a public record of what was forecast and when, not a promise about the market.
Ranges and thresholds answer different questions
A weekly price distribution assigns probability across mutually exclusive closing-price ranges whose probabilities total 100%. A threshold forecast estimates the probability that the close exceeds each listed level. A next-session return product instead describes the close-to-close return over the next trading session.
Why a distribution can be more informative
A distribution makes uncertainty visible: two forecasts can have the same midpoint while assigning very different probabilities to the surrounding ranges. Thresholds can help readers understand how probability changes as the price level changes. Neither structure is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
How Matrix Sig keeps the record clear
Stock questions identify the company and ticker, reference close, target session, outcome structure, publication time, and source attribution. Factual market data describes observed prices; Matrix Sig forecasts describe the expectations published by Analysts and Models. Resolved forecasts remain available for performance review.
Explore Stock forecasts
Review the supported Stock forecast products and public records.
Explore Stock forecasts →